Technology forecasting: Focusing on main system or aggregation of subsystems

Gizem Intepe, Tufan V. Koc

Araştırma sonucu: ???type-name???Konferans katkısıbilirkişi

2 Atıf (Scopus)

Özet

A complex product system consists of numerous subsystems organized in a hierarchical fashion. In literature there exists a tendency in measuring the life cycle of main system by using parameters which characterize the performance of that main technology. This may lead to problems in investment decisions for technology renewal since the forecast of main system technology lifecycle is associated but does not fully represent its subsystems lifecycle. This paper intends to clarify this problem with a case study by showing while the main system is in its midlife; some of the subsystems are approaching their limits and requires urgent radical investment. As a case study refrigerator system is used and the relevant life cycles are obtained using growth curves as a technology forecasting tool. The findings are discussed and suggestions for the need of a multiple level of analysis are given in the discussion section.

Orijinal dilİngilizce
Ana bilgisayar yayını başlığıPICMET 2015 - Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology
Ana bilgisayar yayını alt yazısıManagement of the Technology Age, Proceedings
EditörlerTugrul U. Daim, Dilek Cetindamar Kozanoglu, Dundar F. Kocaoglu, Timothy R. Anderson, Gary Perman, Kiyoshi Niwa
YayınlayanPortland State University
Sayfalar2133-2138
Sayfa sayısı6
ISBN (Elektronik)9781890843328
DOI'lar
Yayın durumuYayınlandı - 21 Eyl 2015
EtkinlikPortland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology, PICMET 2015 - Portland, United States
Süre: 2 Ağu 20156 Ağu 2015

Yayın serisi

AdıPortland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology
Hacim2015-September

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology, PICMET 2015
Ülke/BölgeUnited States
ŞehirPortland
Periyot2/08/156/08/15

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2014 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology.

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