Stock price prediction using predictive error compensation wavelet neural networks

Ajla Kulaglic*, Burak Berk Ustundag

*Bu çalışma için yazışmadan sorumlu yazar

Araştırma sonucu: ???type-name???Makalebilirkişi

9 Atıf (Scopus)

Özet

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms have been widely used for financial time series prediction and trading through bots. In this work, we propose a Predictive Error Compensated Wavelet Neural Network (PEC-WNN) ML model that improves the prediction of next day closing prices. In the proposed model we use multiple neural networks where the first one uses the closing stock prices frommultiple-scale time-domain inputs. An additional network is used for error estimation to compensate and reduce the prediction error of the main network instead of using recurrence. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using six different stock data samples in the New York stock exchange. The results have demonstrated significant improvement in forecasting accuracy in all cases when the second network is used in accordance with the first one by adding the outputs. The RMSE error is 33% improved when the proposed PEC-WNN model is used compared to the Long Short- TermMemory (LSTM) model. Furthermore, through the analysis of training mechanisms, we found that using the updated training the performance of the proposed model is improved. The contribution of this study is the applicability of simultaneously different time frames as inputs. Cascading the predictive error compensation not only reduces the error rate but also helps in avoiding overfitting problems.

Orijinal dilİngilizce
Sayfa (başlangıç-bitiş)3577-3593
Sayfa sayısı17
DergiComputers, Materials and Continua
Hacim68
Basın numarası3
DOI'lar
Yayın durumuYayınlandı - 2021

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 Tech Science Press. All rights reserved.

Finansman

Funding Statement: This study is based on the research project “Development of Cyberdroid based on Cognitive Intelligent system applications” (2019–2020) funded by Crypttech company (https://www.crypttech.com/en/) within the contract by ITUNOVA, Istanbul Technical University Technology Transfer Office.

FinansörlerFinansör numarası
Crypttech company
ITUNOVA
Istanbul Technical University Technology Transfer Office

    Parmak izi

    Stock price prediction using predictive error compensation wavelet neural networks' araştırma başlıklarına git. Birlikte benzersiz bir parmak izi oluştururlar.

    Alıntı Yap