Spectral analysis of time-dependent market-adjusted return correlation matrix

Michael J. Bommarito, Ahmet Duran*

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3 Atıf (Scopus)

Özet

We present an adjusted method for calculating the eigenvalues of a time-dependent return correlation matrix in a moving window. First, we compare the normalized maximum eigenvalue time series of the market-adjusted return correlation matrix to that of the logarithmic return correlation matrix on an 18-year dataset of 310 S&P 500-listed stocks for small and large window or memory sizes. We observe that the resulting new eigenvalue time series is more stationary than the time series obtained without the adjustment. Second, we perform this analysis while sweeping the window size τ∈{5,…,100}∪{500} in order to examine the dependence on the choice of window size. This approach demonstrates the multi-modality of the eigenvalue distributions. We find that the three dimensional distribution of the eigenvalue time series for our market-adjusted return is significantly more stationary than that produced by classic method. Finally, our model offers an approximate polarization domain characterized by a smooth L-shaped strip. The polarization with large amplitude is revealed, while there is persistence in agreement of individual stock returns’ movement with market with small amplitude most of the time.

Orijinal dilİngilizce
Sayfa (başlangıç-bitiş)273-282
Sayfa sayısı10
DergiPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Hacim503
DOI'lar
Yayın durumuYayınlandı - 1 Ağu 2018

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 Elsevier B.V.

Finansman

The authors thank the Main Editor of Physica A, Professor H. Eugene Stanley, and three anonymous referees for the helpful comments. The authors appreciated the Department of Mathematics at Istanbul Technical University, the Department of Mathematics and the Center for the Study of Complex Systems (CSCS) at the University of Michigan for fruitful research environments. This work was partially supported by an NSF, USA IGERT fellowship through the Center for the Study of Complex Systems (CSCS) at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. The authors thank the Main Editor of Physica A, Professor H. Eugene Stanley, and three anonymous referees for the helpful comments. The authors appreciated the Department of Mathematics at Istanbul Technical University, the Department of Mathematics and the Center for the Study of Complex Systems (CSCS) at the University of Michigan for fruitful research environments. This work was partially supported by an NSF, USA IGERT fellowship through the Center for the Study of Complex Systems (CSCS) at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Michael J. Bommarito II received his M.S.E. in Financial Engineering and M.A. in Political Science from the University of Michigan, where he was a National Science Foundation IGERT Fellow at the University of Michigan Center for the Study of Complex Systems. His research interests include natural language processing, machine learning, decision science, optimization, visualization, modeling, and policy, especially as applied to law and finance. Ahmet Duran obtained his Ph.D. in Mathematics from University of Pittsburgh in 2006 and his M.S. in Computer & Information Sciences from University of Delaware in 2003. He worked as an assistant professor at the University of Michigan-Ann Arbor between 2006 and 2010. His areas of expertise include mathematical finance and economics, high performance computing and applied mathematics. He is the author of a number of papers in Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Quantitative Finance, Journal of Supercomputing, Applied Mathematics Letters, Optimization Methods & Software, SIAM, and other journals. He chaired the International Conference on Mathematical Finance and Economics (ICMFE) in 2011. He is currently an associate professor at Istanbul Technical University.

FinansörlerFinansör numarası
National Science Foundation
University of Michigan
National Science Foundation

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