Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter

Emre Soylu; Sefer Baday

doi:10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter

Emre Soylu
, Sefer Baday

Bilişim Enstitüsü

Istanbul Technical University

Araştırma sonucu: Kitap/Rapor/Konferans Bildirisinde Bölüm › Konferans katkısı › bilirkişi

1 Atıf (Scopus)

Özet

In this study, it is aimed to predict the Istanbul Mayoral election which was held on 23 June 2019 with the data collected through the APIs provided by Twitter. Machine learning models were built on a sample data which was labeled manually. Then, these ML models were applied on the whole tweet data set to predict sentiments of tweets regarding candidates. Among applied ML methods, Logistic Regression provided best result for this study. Using predicted sentiments, voting rates for candidates are estimated following different approaches. 2.2% MAE for the voting rates was achieved with the best prediction.

Orijinal dil	İngilizce
Ana bilgisayar yayını başlığı	Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020
Yayınlayan	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Elektronik)	9781728191362
DOI'lar	https://doi.org/10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800
Yayın durumu	Yayınlandı - 15 Eki 2020
Etkinlik	2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020 - Istanbul, Turkey Süre: 15 Eki 2020 → 17 Eki 2020

Yayın serisi

Adı	Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020

???event.eventtypes.event.conference???

???event.eventtypes.event.conference???	2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020
Ülke/Bölge	Turkey
Şehir	Istanbul
Periyot	15/10/20 → 17/10/20

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 IEEE.

Belgeye Erişim

10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

Diğer Dosyalar ve Linkler

Link to publication in Scopus

Alıntı Yap

Soylu, E., & Baday, S. (2020). Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter. In Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020 Makale 9259800 (Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

@inproceedings{14a7e97894244f6a9bd5c9d93a55639f,

title = "Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter",

abstract = "In this study, it is aimed to predict the Istanbul Mayoral election which was held on 23 June 2019 with the data collected through the APIs provided by Twitter. Machine learning models were built on a sample data which was labeled manually. Then, these ML models were applied on the whole tweet data set to predict sentiments of tweets regarding candidates. Among applied ML methods, Logistic Regression provided best result for this study. Using predicted sentiments, voting rates for candidates are estimated following different approaches. 2.2\% MAE for the voting rates was achieved with the best prediction.",

keywords = "election, machine learning, NLP, prediction, Twitter",

author = "Emre Soylu and Sefer Baday",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2020 IEEE.; 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020 ; Conference date: 15-10-2020 Through 17-10-2020",

year = "2020",

month = oct,

day = "15",

doi = "10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800",

language = "English",

series = "Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020",

publisher = "Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.",

booktitle = "Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020",

address = "United States",

}

Soylu, E & Baday, S 2020, Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter. in Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020., 9259800, Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020, Istanbul, Turkey, 15/10/20. https://doi.org/10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter. / Soylu, Emre; Baday, Sefer.
Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2020. 9259800 (Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020).

Araştırma sonucu: Kitap/Rapor/Konferans Bildirisinde Bölüm › Konferans katkısı › bilirkişi

TY - GEN

T1 - Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter

AU - Soylu, Emre

AU - Baday, Sefer

PY - 2020/10/15

Y1 - 2020/10/15

N2 - In this study, it is aimed to predict the Istanbul Mayoral election which was held on 23 June 2019 with the data collected through the APIs provided by Twitter. Machine learning models were built on a sample data which was labeled manually. Then, these ML models were applied on the whole tweet data set to predict sentiments of tweets regarding candidates. Among applied ML methods, Logistic Regression provided best result for this study. Using predicted sentiments, voting rates for candidates are estimated following different approaches. 2.2% MAE for the voting rates was achieved with the best prediction.

AB - In this study, it is aimed to predict the Istanbul Mayoral election which was held on 23 June 2019 with the data collected through the APIs provided by Twitter. Machine learning models were built on a sample data which was labeled manually. Then, these ML models were applied on the whole tweet data set to predict sentiments of tweets regarding candidates. Among applied ML methods, Logistic Regression provided best result for this study. Using predicted sentiments, voting rates for candidates are estimated following different approaches. 2.2% MAE for the voting rates was achieved with the best prediction.

KW - election

KW - machine learning

KW - NLP

KW - prediction

KW - Twitter

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85097964878

U2 - 10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

DO - 10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:85097964878

T3 - Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020

BT - Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.

T2 - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020

Y2 - 15 October 2020 through 17 October 2020

ER -

Soylu E, Baday S. Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter. In Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2020. 9259800. (Proceedings - 2020 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2020). doi: 10.1109/ASYU50717.2020.9259800

Predicting the June 2019 Istanbul Mayoral Election with Twitter

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Bibliyografik not

Belgeye Erişim

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