TY - JOUR
T1 - Hydrometeorological analysis of northwestern Turkey with links to climate change
AU - Aksoy, Hafzullah
AU - Unal, N. Erdem
AU - Alexandrov, Vesselin
AU - Dakova, Snejana
AU - Yoon, Jaeyoung
PY - 2008/6/30
Y1 - 2008/6/30
N2 - Precipitation, air temperature, and streamflow data from the European part of Turkey are analysed by means of a set of tests available in the hydrometeorological literature. Structural characteristics such as randomness, jump, trend, and a best-fit probability distribution function are determined. Concluding remarks related to the structural characteristics of hydrometeorological data state that no significant trend and jump exist in the time series, and the best-fit probability distribution function is the gamma for the streamflow data. Climate change scenarios based on ECHAM4 as well as HadCM2 and HadCM3 global circulation models are developed for the region, and projections are made for the 21st century. Projections made by climate change scenarios signal higher air temperature and lower precipitation in the 21st century and warn for severe extremes, higher maxima and lower minima, both in time and space.
AB - Precipitation, air temperature, and streamflow data from the European part of Turkey are analysed by means of a set of tests available in the hydrometeorological literature. Structural characteristics such as randomness, jump, trend, and a best-fit probability distribution function are determined. Concluding remarks related to the structural characteristics of hydrometeorological data state that no significant trend and jump exist in the time series, and the best-fit probability distribution function is the gamma for the streamflow data. Climate change scenarios based on ECHAM4 as well as HadCM2 and HadCM3 global circulation models are developed for the region, and projections are made for the 21st century. Projections made by climate change scenarios signal higher air temperature and lower precipitation in the 21st century and warn for severe extremes, higher maxima and lower minima, both in time and space.
KW - Climate change scenarios
KW - Climate variability
KW - Global circulation model
KW - Hydrological analysis
KW - Meteorological analysis
KW - Northwestern Turkey
KW - PPCC test
KW - Trend analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=46649115506&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1002/joc.1599
DO - 10.1002/joc.1599
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:46649115506
SN - 0899-8418
VL - 28
SP - 1047
EP - 1060
JO - International Journal of Climatology
JF - International Journal of Climatology
IS - 8
ER -