TY - JOUR
T1 - Forecasting Solar Energy
T2 - Leveraging Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Sustainable Energy Solutions
AU - Saadati, Taraneh
AU - Barutcu, Burak
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - Integrating solar energy into power grids is essential for advancing a low-carbon economy, but accurate forecasting remains challenging due to solar output variability. This study comprehensively reviews solar energy forecasting models, focusing on how Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) enhance forecast accuracy. It examines the current landscape of solar forecasting, identifies limitations in existing models, and underscores the need for more adaptable approaches. The primary goals are to analyze the evolution of AI/ML-based models, assess their strengths and weaknesses, and propose a structured methodology for selecting and implementing AI/ML models tailored to solar power forecasting. Through comparative analysis, the study evaluates individual and hybrid models across different forecasting scenarios, identifying under-explored research areas. The findings indicate significant improvements in prediction accuracy through AI/ML advancements, aiding grid management and supporting the low-carbon transition. Ensemble methods, deep learning techniques, and hybrid models show great promise in enhancing reliability. Combining diverse forecasting approaches with advanced AI/ML techniques results in more reliable solar forecasts. The study suggests that improving model accuracy through these integrated methods offers substantial opportunities for further research, contributing to global sustainability efforts, particularly UN SDGs 7 and 13, and promoting economic growth with minimal environmental impact.
AB - Integrating solar energy into power grids is essential for advancing a low-carbon economy, but accurate forecasting remains challenging due to solar output variability. This study comprehensively reviews solar energy forecasting models, focusing on how Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) enhance forecast accuracy. It examines the current landscape of solar forecasting, identifies limitations in existing models, and underscores the need for more adaptable approaches. The primary goals are to analyze the evolution of AI/ML-based models, assess their strengths and weaknesses, and propose a structured methodology for selecting and implementing AI/ML models tailored to solar power forecasting. Through comparative analysis, the study evaluates individual and hybrid models across different forecasting scenarios, identifying under-explored research areas. The findings indicate significant improvements in prediction accuracy through AI/ML advancements, aiding grid management and supporting the low-carbon transition. Ensemble methods, deep learning techniques, and hybrid models show great promise in enhancing reliability. Combining diverse forecasting approaches with advanced AI/ML techniques results in more reliable solar forecasts. The study suggests that improving model accuracy through these integrated methods offers substantial opportunities for further research, contributing to global sustainability efforts, particularly UN SDGs 7 and 13, and promoting economic growth with minimal environmental impact.
KW - artificial intelligence
KW - hybrid models
KW - machine learning
KW - photovoltaic power generation
KW - solar forecasting
KW - solar radiation
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85215583491&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1111/joes.12678
DO - 10.1111/joes.12678
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85215583491
SN - 0950-0804
JO - Journal of Economic Surveys
JF - Journal of Economic Surveys
ER -