Forecasting Electricity Generation and Shares by Energy Resources by Time Series Analysis: A Case-Study of Turkey

Aziz Kemal Konyalıoğlu*, Nuri Çelik

*Bu çalışma için yazışmadan sorumlu yazar

Araştırma sonucu: Kitap/Rapor/Konferans Bildirisinde BölümKonferans katkısıbilirkişi

Özet

Electricity generation has always been a debatable topic to investigate since industrialization grows up day by day. The accurate planning and directing of the system of supplying electricity depends on reliable modelling and forecasting. Better forecasting and modelling provide more efficient planning, more suitable investments of time, cost and performance and more satisfied customers and citizens. A suitable forecast model for electricity generation is a difficult process to perform, since it involves many parameters such as climate conditions, population, industrial tendency and habitualness of each country or region. In this paper, we tried to forecast electricity generation and shares by energy resources in Turkey by using Time Series Analysis in R software. The study provides not only an effective forecasting for electricity consumption in order to meet the demand in Turkey, but also an efficient segmentation according to the shares by energy resources since the usage of electricity differs from resources. The data, which correspond to the period 1970–2018, are used to forecast the electricity generation in Turkey.

Orijinal dilİngilizce
Ana bilgisayar yayını başlığıDigital Conversion on the Way to Industry 4.0 - Selected Papers from ISPR2020, 2020 Online - Turkey
EditörlerNuman M. Durakbasa, M. Güneş Gençyılmaz
YayınlayanSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Sayfalar115-120
Sayfa sayısı6
ISBN (Basılı)9783030627836
DOI'lar
Yayın durumuYayınlandı - 2021
EtkinlikInternational Symposium for Production Research, ISPR 2020 - Antalya, Turkey
Süre: 24 Eyl 202026 Eyl 2020

Yayın serisi

AdıLecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
ISSN (Basılı)2195-4356
ISSN (Elektronik)2195-4364

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???International Symposium for Production Research, ISPR 2020
Ülke/BölgeTurkey
ŞehirAntalya
Periyot24/09/2026/09/20

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

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