Evaluation of WRF parameterizations for global horizontal irradiation forecasts: A study for Turkey

Selahattin Incecik; Serim Sakarya; Seyda Tilev; Abdullah Kahraman; Bülent Aksoy; Erhan Caliskan; Sema Topcu; Ceyhan Kahya; M. Talat Odman

doi:10.20937/ATM.2019.32.02.05

Evaluation of WRF parameterizations for global horizontal irradiation forecasts: A study for Turkey

Selahattin Incecik
, Serim Sakarya
, Seyda Tilev
, Abdullah Kahraman^*
, Bülent Aksoy
, Erhan Caliskan
, Sema Topcu
, Ceyhan Kahya
, M. Talat Odman

^*Bu çalışma için yazışmadan sorumlu yazar

Meteoroloji Müh.Bölümü

Istanbul Technical University
Abu Dhabi Polytechnic
Samsun University
Turkish State Meteorological Service
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi A.S
Georgia Institute of Technology

Araştırma sonucu: Dergiye katkı › Makale › bilirkişi

17 Atıf (Scopus)

Özet

This study deals with the evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model's parameterization schemes when used for global horizontal irradiation (GHI) forecasts, to assess the feasibility of solar energy utilization. The study area is the southeastern Anatolia (SEA) region of Turkey, with favorable weather conditions for solar energy generation. The results indicate that the values in the hourly output of GHI in the model were overestimated for all configurations at all stations compared to observations. The relative mean bias error values at five stations for all configurations vary between 10-21% for clear-sky and 17-30% for partly-cloudy conditions. Similarly, the relative RMSE values at the five stations vary between 20-39% for clear sky and 41-70% for partly-cloudy conditions. However, there are noticeable differences among the various configurations of the WRF parameterizations.

Orijinal dil	İngilizce
Sayfa (başlangıç-bitiş)	143-158
Sayfa sayısı	16
Dergi	Atmosfera
Hacim	32
Basın numarası	2
DOI'lar	https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.2019.32.02.05
Yayın durumu	Yayınlandı - 2019

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2019 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera.

Finansman

This study is part of the Project 111Y234 supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council, TUBITAK. The authors would like to thank TSMS for their kind support on providing the solar radiation data, and Carolina Cavazos Guerra for her help in Spanish version of the abstract; and finally, the editor and reviewers for their comments improving the paper.

Finansörler
Scientific and Technological Research Council
TUBITAK

Belgeye Erişim

10.20937/ATM.2019.32.02.05

Diğer Dosyalar ve Linkler

Link to publication in Scopus

Alıntı Yap

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title = "Evaluation of WRF parameterizations for global horizontal irradiation forecasts: A study for Turkey",

abstract = "This study deals with the evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model's parameterization schemes when used for global horizontal irradiation (GHI) forecasts, to assess the feasibility of solar energy utilization. The study area is the southeastern Anatolia (SEA) region of Turkey, with favorable weather conditions for solar energy generation. The results indicate that the values in the hourly output of GHI in the model were overestimated for all configurations at all stations compared to observations. The relative mean bias error values at five stations for all configurations vary between 10-21\% for clear-sky and 17-30\% for partly-cloudy conditions. Similarly, the relative RMSE values at the five stations vary between 20-39\% for clear sky and 41-70\% for partly-cloudy conditions. However, there are noticeable differences among the various configurations of the WRF parameterizations.",

keywords = "Energy forecasting, Global horizontal irradiation, Parameterization schemes, Sensitivity, WRF",

author = "Selahattin Incecik and Serim Sakarya and Seyda Tilev and Abdullah Kahraman and B{\"u}lent Aksoy and Erhan Caliskan and Sema Topcu and Ceyhan Kahya and Odman, \{M. Talat\}",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2019 Universidad Nacional Aut{\'o}noma de M{\'e}xico, Centro de Ciencias de la Atm{\'o}sfera.",

year = "2019",

doi = "10.20937/ATM.2019.32.02.05",

language = "English",

volume = "32",

pages = "143--158",

journal = "Atmosfera",

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publisher = "Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico",

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}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Evaluation of WRF parameterizations for global horizontal irradiation forecasts

T2 - A study for Turkey

AU - Incecik, Selahattin

AU - Sakarya, Serim

AU - Tilev, Seyda

AU - Kahraman, Abdullah

AU - Aksoy, Bülent

AU - Caliskan, Erhan

AU - Topcu, Sema

AU - Kahya, Ceyhan

AU - Odman, M. Talat

PY - 2019

Y1 - 2019

N2 - This study deals with the evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model's parameterization schemes when used for global horizontal irradiation (GHI) forecasts, to assess the feasibility of solar energy utilization. The study area is the southeastern Anatolia (SEA) region of Turkey, with favorable weather conditions for solar energy generation. The results indicate that the values in the hourly output of GHI in the model were overestimated for all configurations at all stations compared to observations. The relative mean bias error values at five stations for all configurations vary between 10-21% for clear-sky and 17-30% for partly-cloudy conditions. Similarly, the relative RMSE values at the five stations vary between 20-39% for clear sky and 41-70% for partly-cloudy conditions. However, there are noticeable differences among the various configurations of the WRF parameterizations.

AB - This study deals with the evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model's parameterization schemes when used for global horizontal irradiation (GHI) forecasts, to assess the feasibility of solar energy utilization. The study area is the southeastern Anatolia (SEA) region of Turkey, with favorable weather conditions for solar energy generation. The results indicate that the values in the hourly output of GHI in the model were overestimated for all configurations at all stations compared to observations. The relative mean bias error values at five stations for all configurations vary between 10-21% for clear-sky and 17-30% for partly-cloudy conditions. Similarly, the relative RMSE values at the five stations vary between 20-39% for clear sky and 41-70% for partly-cloudy conditions. However, there are noticeable differences among the various configurations of the WRF parameterizations.

KW - Energy forecasting

KW - Global horizontal irradiation

KW - Parameterization schemes

KW - Sensitivity

KW - WRF

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85064662402

U2 - 10.20937/ATM.2019.32.02.05

DO - 10.20937/ATM.2019.32.02.05

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85064662402

SN - 0187-6236

VL - 32

SP - 143

EP - 158

JO - Atmosfera

JF - Atmosfera

IS - 2

ER -

Evaluation of WRF parameterizations for global horizontal irradiation forecasts: A study for Turkey

Özet

Bibliyografik not

Finansman

Belgeye Erişim

Diğer Dosyalar ve Linkler

Parmak izi

Alıntı Yap