TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimating potential adoption rate of electric vehicles in urban logistics
AU - İmre, Şükrü
AU - Çelebi, Dilay
AU - Asan, Umut
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2024
Y1 - 2024
N2 - This research presents an analytical analysis of the factors related to the preference for using electric vehicles, aimed at estimating their potential adoption in urban freight transport. We employed choice modeling to assess the trade-offs among various attributes associated with Electric Freight Vehicles (EFVs) and predicted the probabilities of EFV adoption within urban freight fleets. This estimation is based on an industry survey and real delivery data from a retail firm. Our findings indicate that electric vehicles could be utilized in approximately 32% of the deliveries for the case company. This, in turn, corresponds to a notable 26% reduction in CO2 emissions resulting from delivery operations. Furthermore, our model enabled us to expand the scope of our analysis to the city level, using Istanbul as a specific example. Our illustration demonstrates that, under the current circumstances, electric vehicles have the potential to account for roughly 25% of all deliveries in Istanbul.
AB - This research presents an analytical analysis of the factors related to the preference for using electric vehicles, aimed at estimating their potential adoption in urban freight transport. We employed choice modeling to assess the trade-offs among various attributes associated with Electric Freight Vehicles (EFVs) and predicted the probabilities of EFV adoption within urban freight fleets. This estimation is based on an industry survey and real delivery data from a retail firm. Our findings indicate that electric vehicles could be utilized in approximately 32% of the deliveries for the case company. This, in turn, corresponds to a notable 26% reduction in CO2 emissions resulting from delivery operations. Furthermore, our model enabled us to expand the scope of our analysis to the city level, using Istanbul as a specific example. Our illustration demonstrates that, under the current circumstances, electric vehicles have the potential to account for roughly 25% of all deliveries in Istanbul.
KW - Electric vehicles
KW - choice model
KW - market potential
KW - stated-preference survey
KW - urban freight transportation
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85178182481&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/03081060.2023.2287138
DO - 10.1080/03081060.2023.2287138
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85178182481
SN - 0308-1060
VL - 47
SP - 370
EP - 399
JO - Transportation Planning and Technology
JF - Transportation Planning and Technology
IS - 3
ER -