Bridging the gap between GRACE and GRACE-FO missions with deep learning aided water storage simulations

Metehan Uz, Kazım Gökhan Atman, Orhan Akyilmaz*, C. K. Shum, Merve Keleş, Tuğçe Ay, Bihter Tandoğdu, Yu Zhang, Hüseyin Mercan

*Bu çalışma için yazışmadan sorumlu yazar

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16 Atıf (Scopus)

Özet

The monthly high-resolution terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSA) during the 11-months of gap between GRACE (Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment) and its successor GRACE-FO (-Follow On) missions are missing. The continuity of the GRACE-like TWSA series with commensurate accuracy is of great importance for the improvement of hydrologic models both at global and regional scales. While previous efforts to bridge this gap, though without achieving GRACE-like spatial resolutions and/or accuracy have been performed, high-quality TWSA simulations at global scale are still lacking. Here, we use a suite of deep learning (DL) architectures, convolutional neural networks (CNN), deep convolutional autoencoders (DCAE), and Bayesian convolutional neural networks (BCNN), with training datasets including GRACE/-FO mascon and Swarm gravimetry, ECMWF Reanalysis-5 data, normalized time tag information to reconstruct global land TWSA maps, at a much higher resolution (100 km full wavelength) than that of GRACE/-FO, and effectively bridge the 11-month data gap globally. Contrary to previous studies, we applied no prior de-trending or de-seasoning to avoid biasing/aliasing the simulations induced by interannual or longer climate signals and extreme weather episodes. We show the contribution of Swarm and time inputs which significantly improved the TWSA simulations in particular for correct prediction of the trend component. Our results also show that external validation with independent data when filling large data gaps within spatio-temporal time series of geophysical signals is mandatory to maintain the robustness of the simulation results. The results and comparisons with previous studies and the adopted DL methods demonstrate the superior performance of DCAE. Validations of our DCAE-based TWSA simulations with independent datasets, including in situ groundwater level, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar measured land subsidence rate (e.g. Central Valley), occurrence/timing of severe flash flood (e.g. South Asian Floods) and drought (e.g. Northern Great Plain, North America) events occurred within the gap, reveal excellent agreements.

Orijinal dilİngilizce
Makale numarası154701
DergiScience of the Total Environment
Hacim830
DOI'lar
Yayın durumuYayınlandı - 15 Tem 2022

Bibliyografik not

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 Elsevier B.V.

Finansman

This work is partially supported by Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey - TÜBİTAK ( 119Y176 ) and also is a part of the first author's dissertation. We acknowledge partial supports from the United States National Science Foundation (NSF) Partnerships for Innovation Program ( 2044704 ), the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) project ( 72038621CA00002 ), and the NASA Earth Surface Interior Program ( 80NSSC20K0494 ). We thank Dr. Shaoxing Mo from Nanjing University for helpful discussions. CSR RL06 Mascon solutions are available in http://www2.csr.utexas.edu/grace . Swarm Level-2 data products are downloaded from International Center for Global Earth Models (ICGEM - http://icgem.gfz-potsdam.de/series/02_COST-G/Swarm ). ERA5-Land (ERA5L) datasets are available on European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast website (ECMWF - https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu ). GLDAS Noah Land Surface Model is available in https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/ . Annual subsidence rate data are obtained from https://data.cnra.ca.gov/ . The developed codes and predicted TWSA data set are available from corresponding author upon reasonable request. The handling editor and four anonymous reviewers are gratefully acknowledged for their constructive comments which significantly improved the manuscript.

FinansörlerFinansör numarası
NASA Earth Surface Interior Program80NSSC20K0494
TÜBİTAK
National Science Foundation2044704
United States Agency for International Development72038621CA00002
Türkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Araştirma Kurumu119Y176

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