Volatility transmission among Latin American stock markets under structural breaks

Bülent Güloğlu*, Pınar Kaya, Resul Aydemir

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The paper investigates the volatility spillovers among five major Latin American (LA) stock markets under the presence of the structural breaks in variance. We employ a multivariate dynamic conditional correlation (DCC GARCH) model allowing for structural breaks in variance. The dynamic correlations show that volatility spillover effects among the markets are not strong. Causality in mean tests indicate one way causality from BOVESPA to all markets, whereas causality in variance tests indicate one way causality only from BOVESPA to IPSA. These findings suggest that while the markets in the sample are interdependent, there is not enough statistical evidence to infer the contagion effects among the markets.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)330-340
Number of pages11
JournalPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Volume462
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Nov 2016

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 Elsevier B.V.

Keywords

  • Breaks in variance
  • Causality
  • DCC-GARCH
  • Volatility spillovers

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