Use of tree based methods in ship performance monitoring under operating conditions

Omer Soner*, Emre Akyuz, Metin Celik

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

35 Citations (Scopus)


Monitoring of operational efficiency in ship fleets is a complex maritime problem which requires an analytical approach in order to provide satisfactory solutions. Since the problem involves high-dimensional data, this paper develops tree-based modelling on bagging, random forest and bootstrap approach to analyse the ship performance under operational condition. To demonstrate the proposed model, the publicly accessible dataset for 254 trips derived from a particular designed acquisition system on-board ferry ship is utilised. In operational variable analysis on speed through water and fuel consumption, the bootstrap approach yields more accurate prediction rate than random forest and bagging. The proposed model is superior to the others such as ANN and GP applications in ship performance monitoring. Consequently, the tree based model adopting bagging, random forest, and boosting environment is capable of increasing the predictive performance during monitoring of ship performance in maritime industry. Beside its theoretical insight, the findings of the paper contribute ship management companies to monitor ship operational performance.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)302-310
Number of pages9
JournalOcean Engineering
Publication statusPublished - 15 Oct 2018

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 Elsevier Ltd


  • Maritime industry
  • Operation management
  • Ship performance monitoring
  • Statistical learning


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