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Time-to-Intercept Adaptive Sequential Convex Programming for Fixed-Wing UAV Evasion Against Kamikaze Interceptors

  • Mostafa Abdelkhalek*
  • , Ismail Bayezit
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Istanbul Technical University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

Abstract

When a fixed-wing UAV on a time-critical mission is engaged by a high-speed kamikaze interceptor, the onboard planner must simultaneously guarantee threat evasion and sufficient mission progress to reach the designated landing zone within the prescribed time budget. This paper breaks the deadlock with a Time-to-Intercept (TTI) adaptive Sequential Convex Programming (SCP) planner embedded in a three-dimensional Stackelberg differential game. A TTI metric, derived from the radial closing speed along the line of sight, classifies the engagement into three regimes - cruise, alert, and evasion - and selects the corresponding multi-objective QP cost weights, enabling seamless transitions between mission-oriented flight and aggressive evasive maneuvering. Within the SCP loop, the interceptor's augmented proportional navigation response is re-predicted at each iteration against the latest evader reference, coupling leader and follower dynamics until convergence to a local Stackelberg equilibrium. Recursive feasibility is enforced through slack-variable relaxation of the linearized keep-out constraints. Comparative simulations across five engagement geometries - rear pursuit, head-on, dive attack, LZ blocker, and lateral block - demonstrate a 100% landing success rate against 80% for the best fixed-weight baseline. A parametric robustness analysis over speed ratio, initial separation, turn rate, planning horizon, capture radius, and load factor delineates the survivable flight envelope, identifying capture radius and speed ratio as the dominant performance-limiting factors.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationRAST 2026 - 11th International Conference on Recent Advances in Air and Space Technologies, Conference Program
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798319546371
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026
Event11th International Conference on Recent Advances in Air and Space Technologies, Conference Program, RAST 2026 - Istanbul, Turkey
Duration: 13 May 2026 → 15 May 2026

Publication series

NameRAST 2026 - 11th International Conference on Recent Advances in Air and Space Technologies, Conference Program

Conference

Conference11th International Conference on Recent Advances in Air and Space Technologies, Conference Program, RAST 2026
Country/TerritoryTurkey
CityIstanbul
Period13/05/26 → 15/05/26

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 IEEE.

Keywords

  • evasive maneuvering
  • fixed-wing UAV
  • pursuit-evasion
  • sequential convex programming
  • stackelberg game
  • time-to-intercept
  • trajectory optimization

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