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Threshold analysis of multi-group SIR models with heterogeneous mixing

  • Michele Bellingeri
  • , Ayse Humeyra Bilge*
  • , Ayse Peker-Dobie
  • , Sevgi Harman
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • University of Parma
  • National Institute for Nuclear Physics
  • Kadir Has University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

We analyze the spread of a social interaction agent of finite duration of interest, such as a petition, behavioral trend, or opinion, through a heterogeneous population using a multi-group SIR model. By integrating the model equations, we obtain explicit final-size relations and identify threshold conditions that determine whether propagation can be sustained. For one-, two-, and three-group systems, we show how within-group reinforcement and cross-group influence shape the geometry of the no-propagation boundary. The results provide a clear geometric characterization of heterogeneous diffusion and offer practical guidance for designing interventions that either promote or inhibit spread.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1755888
JournalFrontiers in Physics
Volume14
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2026 Bellingeri, Bilge, Peker-Dobie and Harman.

Keywords

  • age-structured epidemic model
  • final size relation
  • heterogeneous mixing
  • multi-group SIR model
  • threshold hyperplane

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