TEWI - Turkey early warning index

Sercan Kiliclar; Oktay Tas

doi:10.1080/15475770802698532

TEWI - Turkey early warning index

Sercan Kiliclar^*, Oktay Tas

^*Corresponding author for this work

Department of Management Engineering

Istanbul Technical University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

TEWI - Turkey Early Warning Index is a combination of eight different indexes that basically stands on eight different macroeconomic variables. Each variable was selected in accordance with the strength of reflecting macroeconomic outlook. Analysis of the macroeconomic variables shows that all variables have almost the same transactions in pre-crisis terms. The difference of TEWI - Turkey Early Warning Index from the current early warning systems appears in a new calculation method titled "hot money index." We also defined the "hot money index" as the sum of portfolio investments and short-term credits that belong to other investments. With its current structure, TEWI - Turkey Early Warning Index has an ability to signal three months ahead of the economic constriction.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	27-41
Number of pages	15
Journal	Journal of Transnational Management
Volume	14
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1080/15475770802698532
Publication status	Published - 2009

Keywords

"Hot money ndex"
Macroeconomics
Portfolio investments
Short-term credits
TEWI - Turkey early warning index

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1080/15475770802698532

Cite this

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AB - TEWI - Turkey Early Warning Index is a combination of eight different indexes that basically stands on eight different macroeconomic variables. Each variable was selected in accordance with the strength of reflecting macroeconomic outlook. Analysis of the macroeconomic variables shows that all variables have almost the same transactions in pre-crisis terms. The difference of TEWI - Turkey Early Warning Index from the current early warning systems appears in a new calculation method titled "hot money index." We also defined the "hot money index" as the sum of portfolio investments and short-term credits that belong to other investments. With its current structure, TEWI - Turkey Early Warning Index has an ability to signal three months ahead of the economic constriction.

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TEWI - Turkey early warning index

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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