Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul

Seda Kundak; Caglar Goksu; Kerem Yavuz Arslanli; Ahmet Atıl Asici; Duygu Kalkanlı

doi:10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36

Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul

Seda Kundak^*, Caglar Goksu, Kerem Yavuz Arslanli, Ahmet Atıl Asici, Duygu Kalkanlı

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

Abstract

Impact chain analysis is a useful tool to reveal the root causes and cascading effects of disasters. Furthermore, the visualized output of the analysis addresses not only the academia but also the stakeholders and community. The articulated structure of the impact chain analysis allows the integration of new entries that can define the progression of different types of vulnerabilities that enables monitoring the emergence of risks in a given area. Istanbul, as an earthquake-prone megacity, represents a high complexity by the means of spatial configuration, sectoral interdependency and systemic connectivity. The impact chain approach has been deployed for Istanbul to present a comprehensive perspective by fragmenting causal components of the most probable impacts of an earthquake. Spatial and temporal variables have been integrated to the impact chain analysis through some hypothetical scenarios which also cover the daily/seasonal mobility of the inhabitants. The results which have been produced in a stakeholders’ workshop, showed that the impact chain analysis differentiated according to the temporal and spatial variables for the first 72 h following the earthquake.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology - 7ICEES 2023—Volume 2
Editors	Murat Altug Erberik, Aysegul Askan, Mustafa Kerem Kockar
Publisher	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages	415-423
Number of pages	9
ISBN (Print)	9783031573569
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36
Publication status	Published - 2024
Event	7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, ICEES 2023 - Antalya, Turkey Duration: 6 Nov 2023 → 10 Nov 2023

Publication series

Name	Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering
Volume	401 LNCE
ISSN (Print)	2366-2557
ISSN (Electronic)	2366-2565

Conference

Conference	7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, ICEES 2023
Country/Territory	Turkey
City	Antalya
Period	6/11/23 → 10/11/23

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024.

Keywords

Cascading effects
Earthquake
Impact chain
Istanbul
PARATUS

Access to Document

10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36

Cite this

Kundak, S., Goksu, C., Arslanli, K. Y., Asici, A. A., & Kalkanlı, D. (2024). Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. In M. A. Erberik, A. Askan, & M. K. Kockar (Eds.), Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology - 7ICEES 2023—Volume 2 (pp. 415-423). (Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering; Vol. 401 LNCE). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36

Kundak, Seda ; Goksu, Caglar ; Arslanli, Kerem Yavuz et al. / Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology - 7ICEES 2023—Volume 2. editor / Murat Altug Erberik ; Aysegul Askan ; Mustafa Kerem Kockar. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2024. pp. 415-423 (Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering).

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abstract = "Impact chain analysis is a useful tool to reveal the root causes and cascading effects of disasters. Furthermore, the visualized output of the analysis addresses not only the academia but also the stakeholders and community. The articulated structure of the impact chain analysis allows the integration of new entries that can define the progression of different types of vulnerabilities that enables monitoring the emergence of risks in a given area. Istanbul, as an earthquake-prone megacity, represents a high complexity by the means of spatial configuration, sectoral interdependency and systemic connectivity. The impact chain approach has been deployed for Istanbul to present a comprehensive perspective by fragmenting causal components of the most probable impacts of an earthquake. Spatial and temporal variables have been integrated to the impact chain analysis through some hypothetical scenarios which also cover the daily/seasonal mobility of the inhabitants. The results which have been produced in a stakeholders{\textquoteright} workshop, showed that the impact chain analysis differentiated according to the temporal and spatial variables for the first 72 h following the earthquake.",

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author = "Seda Kundak and Caglar Goksu and Arslanli, {Kerem Yavuz} and Asici, {Ahmet Atıl} and Duygu Kalkanlı",

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Kundak, S, Goksu, C, Arslanli, KY , Asici, AA & Kalkanlı, D 2024, Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. in MA Erberik, A Askan & MK Kockar (eds), Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology - 7ICEES 2023—Volume 2. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol. 401 LNCE, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, pp. 415-423, 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, ICEES 2023, Antalya, Turkey, 6/11/23. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36

Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. / Kundak, Seda; Goksu, Caglar; Arslanli, Kerem Yavuz et al.
Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology - 7ICEES 2023—Volume 2. ed. / Murat Altug Erberik; Aysegul Askan; Mustafa Kerem Kockar. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2024. p. 415-423 (Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering; Vol. 401 LNCE).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

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AU - Goksu, Caglar

AU - Arslanli, Kerem Yavuz

AU - Asici, Ahmet Atıl

AU - Kalkanlı, Duygu

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024.

PY - 2024

Y1 - 2024

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Kundak S, Goksu C, Arslanli KY , Asici AA, Kalkanlı D. Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul. In Erberik MA, Askan A, Kockar MK, editors, Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology - 7ICEES 2023—Volume 2. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. 2024. p. 415-423. (Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering). doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-57357-6_36

Spatial and Temporal Impact Chain Analysis on Seismic Risks of Istanbul

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

Bibliographical note

Keywords

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