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Sovereign risk ratings: Biased toward developed countries?

  • Istanbul Technical University
  • General Directorate of Foreign Economic Relations

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

50 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Sovereign credit ratings are widely used measurements for "country risk" in international capital markets. However, they have been exposed to increasing criticism in the aftermath of the recent global financial crises. Many international authorities proposed new frameworks for the regulation and supervision of the credit rating sector, in which many countries have taken various steps in this respect. Yet the reliability of sovereign credit ratings has not been criticized in the literature. Using random effects ordered probit modeling, this study explores the reliability of credit ratings. Separate analyses of developed and developing countries suggest that the consistency of credit ratings differs by favoring the developed country group.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)69-87
Number of pages19
JournalEmerging Markets Finance and Trade
Volume47
Issue numberSUPPL. 2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2011

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 1 - No Poverty
    SDG 1 No Poverty
  2. SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities
    SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities
  3. SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals
    SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals

Keywords

  • Credit-rating agencies
  • ordered logit
  • ordered probit
  • political risk
  • risk premium
  • sovereign rating

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