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PHYSICS-INFORMED MACHINE LEARNING MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE DISPLACEMENT DEMANDS OF STRUCTURES: INSIGHTS FROM THE 2023 KAHRAMANMARAŞ EARTHQUAKES

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Abstract

Accurate determination of displacement demands from ground excitations is essential for evaluating the seismic performance of existing buildings and designing new structures resilient to natural and man-made disasters. Energy-based evaluation and design approaches have emerged as effective tools for achieving this objective. This study investigates the correlation between seismic input energy and top displacement demands, laying the groundwork for a reliable methodology to predict displacement demands in structural systems, focusing on the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence. Response history analyses were performed on single-degree-of-freedom systems using various ground motion records, and the relationships were examined through parametric studies involving vibrational period and damping ratio. Building on these findings, a novel machine-learning model employing the XGBoost algorithm was developed to predict the relationship between seismic input energy and top displacement demands. The XGBoost-based approach demonstrated enhanced predictive accuracy, providing a robust tool for estimating structural demands, particularly top displacement demands, and contributing to seismic risk assessment and mitigation efforts.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationCOMPDYN 2025 - 10th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering
PublisherNational Technical University of Athens
Pages219-228
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9786185827069
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Event10th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2025 - Rhodes Island, Greece
Duration: 15 Jun 202518 Jun 2025

Publication series

NameCOMPDYN Proceedings
ISSN (Print)2623-3347

Conference

Conference10th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2025
Country/TerritoryGreece
CityRhodes Island
Period15/06/2518/06/25

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Authors.

Keywords

  • Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Sequence
  • Machine Learning
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Seismic Input Energy
  • Top Displacement Demand
  • XGBoost

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