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New horizons in statistical downscaling and AI approaches for sustainable km-scale climate simulations

  • Kwok Pan Chun*
  • , Leonardo Aragão
  • , Matías Ezequiel Olmo
  • , Viet Dung Nguyen
  • , Christoforus Bayu Risanto
  • , Maria Laura Bettolli
  • , Yasemin Ezber
  • , Emir Toker
  • , Konstantinos V. Varotsos
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • University of the West of England
  • Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
  • Centro Nacional de Supercomputación
  • Helmholtz Centre Potsdam - German Research Centre for Geosciences
  • Vatican Observatory
  • Universidad de Buenos Aires
  • National Observatory of Athens

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Statistical downscaling translates coarse-resolution climate model output into locally relevant information for climate services and impact assessment. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) enable high-resolution, probabilistic, and computationally efficient approaches. This paper provides a perspective on the evolution from classical to AI-driven and hybrid downscaling approaches, assesses key challenges related to interpretability, uncertainty, data availability, and computational requirements, and outlines physically constrained and generative frameworks that support decision-making across sectors.

Original languageEnglish
Article number151
Journalnpj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Volume9
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2026.

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