Abstract
This study presents a geospatial framework for earthquake risk assessment in Türkiye's Marmara Region, one of the country's most densely populated and hazard-prone areas. Integrating multi-source datasets within a GIS and Remote Sensing (RS) environment, the approach synthesizes hazard, exposure, and vulnerability layers into a composite risk index at 100 m spatial resolution. Hazard modelling was conducted using fault proximity data from the General Directorate of Mineral Research and Exploration (MTA) and lithological susceptibility maps, both normalized and weighted to reflect seismic amplification potential. Exposure was quantified through demographic and infrastructural density, combining LandScan Global 2023 population data and OpenStreetMap (OSM) building footprints processed via kernel density estimation. Vulnerability was represented using building density as a proxy for structural fragility. All layers were normalized into a 0-1 scale and spatially aligned using GDAL-based resampling. The resulting risk map identifies Istanbul, Kocaeli, Bursa, and Sakarya as high to very high-risk zones, aligning with historical earthquake events such as the 1999 İzmit earthquake. Findings confirm that risk is driven not only by seismic hazard but also by demographic exposure and urban vulnerability. The proposed workflow demonstrates the applicability of open and national geospatial datasets in disaster risk management and offers a reproducible methodology for smart city resilience planning.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 137-145 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Journal | International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences - ISPRS Archives |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue number | 5/W3-2025 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 12 Nov 2025 |
| Externally published | Yes |
| Event | 2025 International Conference on Applied Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing for Environmental and Industry, APRSEI - PHEDCS 2025 - Tashkent, Uzbekistan Duration: 23 Sept 2025 → 25 Sept 2025 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:Copyright © 2025 Sevda Uckardesler.
Keywords
- Disaster Risk Management
- GIS
- Multi-source Data
- Remote Sensing
- Smart Cities
- Spatial Analysis
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