TY - JOUR
T1 - Median ratio test on graphical representation for trend analysis by comparison with Mann-Kendall and Wilcoxon tests
AU - Küçükerdem Öztürk, Tülay Suğra
AU - Saplıoğlu, Kemal
AU - Güçlü, Yavuz Selim
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 IAHS.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - This study proposes a hybrid methodology including graphical and numerical analysis for trend identification. The proposed graph is constructed from two divided but unsorted time series by considering the differences in the median values of the two series. In addition to the graphical representation, the median ratio test has been added. The study was modeled with 10,000 virtual data sets. The application data are 24-hour maximum precipitation data taken from 10 provinces in Türkiye (Çanakkale, Çorlu, Dikili, Dörtyol, Edirne, İnebolu, Niğde, Şanlıurfa, Yozgat, Zonguldak) between 1961 and 2020. The proposed method was compared by calculating Mann-Kendall (MK), IV-ITA, and Wilcoxon test statistics. No trend was determined for ZMK, ZW, IV-ITA, and the proposed method at Dikili, Şanlıurfa, Yozgat, and Zonguldak stations. An increasing trend was determined at Çorlu, Dörtyol, Edirne, and İnebolu stations. While other methods except MK were consistent at Çanakkale station, the remaining methods except IV-ITA were consistent at Niğde station.
AB - This study proposes a hybrid methodology including graphical and numerical analysis for trend identification. The proposed graph is constructed from two divided but unsorted time series by considering the differences in the median values of the two series. In addition to the graphical representation, the median ratio test has been added. The study was modeled with 10,000 virtual data sets. The application data are 24-hour maximum precipitation data taken from 10 provinces in Türkiye (Çanakkale, Çorlu, Dikili, Dörtyol, Edirne, İnebolu, Niğde, Şanlıurfa, Yozgat, Zonguldak) between 1961 and 2020. The proposed method was compared by calculating Mann-Kendall (MK), IV-ITA, and Wilcoxon test statistics. No trend was determined for ZMK, ZW, IV-ITA, and the proposed method at Dikili, Şanlıurfa, Yozgat, and Zonguldak stations. An increasing trend was determined at Çorlu, Dörtyol, Edirne, and İnebolu stations. While other methods except MK were consistent at Çanakkale station, the remaining methods except IV-ITA were consistent at Niğde station.
KW - ITA
KW - Mann Kendall
KW - Türkiye
KW - Wilcoxon
KW - time series
KW - trend analysis
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105015222388
U2 - 10.1080/02626667.2025.2543943
DO - 10.1080/02626667.2025.2543943
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105015222388
SN - 0262-6667
VL - 70
SP - 2530
EP - 2542
JO - Hydrological Sciences Journal
JF - Hydrological Sciences Journal
IS - 14
ER -