Leveraging Machine Learning for Smart City Traffic Safety: A Predictive Approach to Accident Analysis

  • Daniyar Issenov
  • , Mukhtar Orazbay
  • , Fares A. Dael*
  • , Ibraheem Shayea
  • , Gulsim N. Tulepova
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Traffic accidents affect public safety, traffic, and economic efficiency, posing serious problems for urban areas. To improve traffic safety and accident prediction, this study investigates the use of Machine Learning (ML) techniques within the context of smart cities. The Study examines accident severity and pinpoints high-risk areas using Random Forest and Logistic Regression models on the US Accidents dataset (2017–2023). While Random Forest captures intricate interconnections for substantial prediction accuracy, Logistic Regression provides interpretability by emphasizing the influence of individual elements. The algorithms use contextual and environmental elements to enhance accident prediction, including weather, road visibility, and regional characteristics. The results demonstrate that AI-powered smart city solutions can reduce traffic risks by enabling proactive measures. Specifically, the Random Forest model achieved an accuracy of 94.1% in predicting accident severity, while Logistic Regression provided interpretable insights into contributing factors (e.g., weather and visibility). These findings allow urban planners to prioritize high-risk areas, optimize traffic management, and deploy emergency resources more efficiently, ultimately promoting safer urban transportation.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationSelected Papers from the International Conference on Artificial Intelligence - FICAILY2025 - Current Research, Industry Trends, and Innovations
EditorsAli Othman Albaji
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages599-611
Number of pages13
ISBN (Print)9783032002310
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026
EventInternational Conference on AI: Current Research, Industry Trends, and Innovations, FICAILY 2025 - Tripoli, Libya
Duration: 9 Jul 202510 Jul 2025

Publication series

NameStudies in Computational Intelligence
Volume1229 SCI
ISSN (Print)1860-949X
ISSN (Electronic)1860-9503

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on AI: Current Research, Industry Trends, and Innovations, FICAILY 2025
Country/TerritoryLibya
CityTripoli
Period9/07/2510/07/25

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
    SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

Keywords

  • Machine Learning
  • Smart Cities
  • Traffic Accident Prediction
  • Urban Mobility

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