Investment analysis using grey and fuzzy logic

Cengiz Kahraman, Ziya Ulukan

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The theory of fuzzy logics founded by Zadeh in 1965 has been proven to be useful for dealing with uncertain and vague information. The grey theory that was first proposed by Deng (1982) avoids the inherent defects of conventional statistical methods and only requires a limited amount of data to estimate the behavior of unknown systems. In this paper, we use the fuzzy set theory and the grey theory to develop an efficient method to predict the cash flows of an investment. The cash flows obtained are used in present worth analysis to determine if the investment is acceptable. Illustrative examples are given.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationApplied Artificial Intelligence - Proceedings of the 7th International FLINS Conference, FLINS 2006
EditorsPierre D'Hondt, Etienne E. Kerre, Da Ruan, Martine De Cock, Mike Nachtegael, Paolo F. Fantoni
PublisherWorld Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd
Pages283-290
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9812566902, 9789812566904
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2006
EventApplied Artificial Intelligence - 7th International Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science Conference, FLINS 2006 - Genova, Italy
Duration: 29 Aug 200631 Aug 2006

Publication series

NameApplied Artificial Intelligence - Proceedings of the 7th International FLINS Conference, FLINS 2006

Conference

ConferenceApplied Artificial Intelligence - 7th International Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science Conference, FLINS 2006
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityGenova
Period29/08/0631/08/06

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2006 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

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