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Introducing Interval Neural Networks for Uncertainty-Aware System Identification

  • Istanbul Technical University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

System Identification (SysID) is crucial for modeling and understanding dynamical systems using experimental data. While traditional SysID methods emphasize linear models, their inability to fully capture nonlinear dynamics has driven the adoption of Deep Learning (DL) as a more powerful alternative. However, the lack of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in DL-based models poses challenges for reliability and safety, highlighting the necessity of incorporating UQ. This paper introduces a systematic framework for constructing and learning Interval Neural Networks (INNs) to perform UQ in SysID tasks. INNs are derived by transforming the learnable parameters (LPs) of pre-trained neural networks into interval-valued LPs without relying on probabilistic assumptions. By employing interval arithmetic throughout the network, INNs can generate Prediction Intervals (PIs) that capture target coverage effectively. We extend Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) into Interval LSTM (ILSTM) and Interval NODE (INODE) architectures, providing the mathematical foundations for their application in SysID. To train INNs, we propose a DL framework that integrates a UQ loss function and parameterization tricks to handle constraints arising from interval LPs. We introduce novel concept "elasticity"for underlying uncertainty causes and validate ILSTM and INODE in SysID experiments, demonstrating their effectiveness.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICHORA 2025 - 2025 7th International Congress on Human-Computer Interaction, Optimization and Robotic Applications, Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798331510886
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Event7th International Congress on Human-Computer Interaction, Optimization and Robotic Applications, ICHORA 2025 - Ankara, Turkey
Duration: 23 May 202524 May 2025

Publication series

NameICHORA 2025 - 2025 7th International Congress on Human-Computer Interaction, Optimization and Robotic Applications, Proceedings

Conference

Conference7th International Congress on Human-Computer Interaction, Optimization and Robotic Applications, ICHORA 2025
Country/TerritoryTurkey
CityAnkara
Period23/05/2524/05/25

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 IEEE.

Keywords

  • interval neural networks
  • prediction intervals
  • system identification
  • uncertainty quantification

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