Incipient ocean spreading beneath the Arabian shield

Formation of new oceans by continental break-up is understood as a continuous evolution from rifting to ocean spreading. The Red Sea is one of few locations on Earth where a new plate boundary presently forms. Its evolution provides key information on how the plate tectonics operates and how the plate boundaries form and evolve in time. While the new plate boundary has already been formed in the southern Red Sea where ocean spreading is active, the north-central segment still experiences continental rifting. The region also has west-east asymmetry: in the north-central Red Sea the rift-related magmatism is not located beneath the rift axis, as conventional models predict, but instead is offset by ca 300 km into Arabia. We propose a new geodynamic model which explains the enigmatic asymmetry of the Red Sea region and is fully consistent with various types of geological and geophysical observations. We demonstrate that the north-central rift is a transient feature that will not develop into coincident ocean spreading. Instead, the new plate boundary forms across Arabia. Our numerical experiments, supported by geological, seismic and gravity observations, predict that in 1–5 Myr the north-central extensional axis will jump ~300 km eastward into Arabia. The Ad Damm strike-slip fault, normal to the central Red Sea rift axis, will evolve into a transform fault between the on-going ocean spreading in the southern Red Sea and the future spreading in north-central Arabia. We demonstrate that crustal-scale weakness zones control lithosphere extension and lead to long-distance jumps of extensional axes in continental lithosphere not affected by hotspots. Therefore, our model also provides theoretical basis for understanding dynamics and mechanisms of the transition from rifting to continental break-up at passive continental margins not affected by hotspots.