Enhancing E-Governance In The Ministry Of Electricity In Iraq Using Artificial Intelligence

Saba Talib Mohammed, Ahmet Elbir, Nizamettin Aydin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Forecasting the electricity demand is essential to op-timize future production. This forecasting can be boosted by uti-lizing machine learning as an enhancement to the e-Governance at the Ministry of Electricity in Iraq. This research aims to investigate the effects of machine learning on e-Governance using electricity consumption and exogenous variables (weather data) from 2020 to 2021, in the city of Mosul in northern Iraq. This study utilizes several neural network and statistical models, including (Stacked and Bi-) LSTM and statistical models (ARIMA and SARIMAX), to forecast future consumption and to increase the effectiveness of Governance in detecting anomalies. The results show that deep learning models have a better result in comparison with statistical models in terms of the root mean square error rate. The best model of LSTM achieves a result of 11.2 RMSE while the statistical models comprised of ARIMA and SARIMAx obtain an RMSE value of 15 and 12.2 respectively.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2022 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2022
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9781665488945
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Externally publishedYes
Event2022 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2022 - Antalya, Turkey
Duration: 7 Sept 20229 Sept 2022

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2022 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2022

Conference

Conference2022 Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference, ASYU 2022
Country/TerritoryTurkey
CityAntalya
Period7/09/229/09/22

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 IEEE.

Keywords

  • ARIMA
  • E-governance
  • LSTM
  • energy consumption
  • long-term electricity demand forecasting

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