Effect of synthetic CT on dose-derived toxicity predictors for MR-only prostate radiotherapy

Objectives: Toxicity-driven adaptive radiotherapy (RT) is enhanced by the superior soft tissue contrast of magnetic resonance (MR) imaging compared with conventional computed tomography (CT). However, in an MR-only RT pathway synthetic CTs (sCT) are required for dose calculation. This study evaluates 3 sCT approaches for accurate rectal toxicity prediction in prostate RT. Methods: Thirty-six patients had MR (T2-weighted acquisition optimized for anatomical delineation, and T1-Dixon) with same day standard-of-care planning CT for prostate RT. Multiple sCT were created per patient using bulk density (BD), tissue stratification (TS, from T1-Dixon) and deep-learning (DL) artificial intelligence (AI) (from T2-weighted) approaches for dose distribution calculation and creation of rectal dose volume histograms (DVH) and dose surface maps (DSM) to assess grade-2 (G2) rectal bleeding risk. Results: Maximum absolute errors using sCT for DVH-based G2 rectal bleeding risk (risk range 1.6% to 6.1%) were 0.6% (BD), 0.3% (TS) and 0.1% (DL). DSM-derived risk prediction errors followed a similar pattern. DL sCT has voxel-wise density generated from T2-weighted MR and improved accuracy for both risk-prediction methods. Conclusions: DL improves dosimetric and predicted risk calculation accuracy. Both TS and DL methods are clinically suitable for sCT generation in toxicity-guided RT, however, DL offers increased accuracy and offers efficiencies by removing the need for T1-Dixon MR. Advances in knowledge: This study demonstrates novel insights regarding the effect of sCT on predictive toxicity metrics, demonstrating clear accuracy improvement with increased sCT resolution. Accuracy of toxicity calculation in MR-only RT should be assessed for all treatment sites where dose to critical structures will guide adaptive-RT strategies. Clinical trial registration number: Patient data were taken from an ethically approved (UK Health Research Authority) clinical trial run at Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust. Study Name: MR-simulation in Radiotherapy for Prostate Cancer. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03238170.