Abstract
Turkey as one of the mid-latitude countries in sub-tropical climate belt of the world has a special location meteoro-hydrologically. Various air mass movements display their impacts over Turkey's air, weather, and climate situations on a daily, monthly, or yearly base. Such a meteorologically interactive region is expected to have climate change signature variations as a result of various air movements in the future. A set of values from over three decades of observed temperatures, records from two overlapping periods 1960–1990 and 1970–2000 based on the records from the 30 years in the past, are taken. The basic time duration between 1960 and 1990 displays the actions as observed in the regular time period in the world. This time is considered as a base to determine the state of future temp changes. This study avoids statistical comparisons based on arithmetic averages and standard deviations; instead it adopts a method of interpreting the changes over the last three decades based on Special Report on Emissions Scenarios for different time intervals (5-, 10-, and 50-year). In this work, after establishing a special downscaling methodology, different General Climate Model results are coupled with local variables and following the verification and validation with measured data from almost 300 spatially distributed monthly temperature data, the significance of climate change impact is presented with relevant interpretations. The above explanations note that the greatest change in the last 40 years in terms of temperature is more visible in the highest temperatures rather than the average and lowest temperatures. Generally speaking, because the highest heats are observed in summer times (less rainfall month), one may conclude that there is rise in the number of drought incidents in these times in Istanbul and different cities of Turkey.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Causes, Impacts and Solutions to Global Warming |
Publisher | Springer New York |
Pages | 103-127 |
Number of pages | 25 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 9781461475880 |
ISBN (Print) | 9781461475873 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 Jan 2013 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013. All rights reserved.
Keywords
- Climate change
- Downscaling
- Precipitation
- Runoff
- Scenario
- SRES
- Temperature
- Turkey