Benchmark of machine learning algorithms on transient stability prediction in renewable rich power grids under cyber-attacks

Kemal Aygul, Mostafa Mohammadpourfard, Mert Kesici, Fatih Kucuktezcan, Istemihan Genc*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

15 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study addresses the problem of ensuring accurate online transient stability prediction in modern power systems that are increasingly dependent on smart grid technology and are thus susceptible to cyber-attacks. Despite technological advancements, a considerable gap remains in the resilience of machine learning algorithms for stability prediction, which are not yet adequately equipped to counter the sophisticated and evolving nature of cyber threats. The research further assesses how cyber-attacks, alongside the integration of renewable energy and topological changes, affect these machine learning-based methods. Employed online, transient stability prediction methods are vital for real-time monitoring and forecasting of power system behavior in response to disturbances. Recognizing that attackers can disrupt communication and consequently manipulate the power system, the study simulates various scenarios to test the robustness of the proposed algorithms. Findings indicate that under cyber-attacks, machine learning algorithms underperform, leading to a significant decrease in the accuracy of transient stability predictions compared to those in normal operating conditions. This underlines the pressing need for advanced cybersecurity measures to safeguard the predictive capabilities of power systems.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101012
JournalInternet of Things (Netherlands)
Volume25
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Elsevier B.V.

Funding

This work was supported by TUBITAK and European Commission Horizon 2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Cofund program (Project Number: 120C080).

FundersFunder number
European Commission Horizon 2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions120C080
Türkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Araştırma Kurumu

    Keywords

    • False data injection attack
    • Machine learning
    • Protection relays
    • Renewable energy
    • Transient stability prediction

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