Adapting GT2-FLS for Uncertainty Quantification: A Blueprint Calibration Strategy

Yusuf Güven*, Tufan Kumbasar

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial for deploying reliable Deep Learning (DL) models in high-stakes applications. Recently, General Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (GT2FLSs) have proved to be effective for UQ, offering Prediction Intervals (PIs) to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods often struggle with computational efficiency and adaptability, as generating PIs for new coverage levels (φd) typically requires retraining the model. Moreover, methods that directly estimate the entire conditional distribution for UQ are computationally expensive, limiting their scalability in real-world scenarios. This study addresses these challenges by proposing a blueprint calibration strategy for GT2-FLSs, enabling efficient adaptation to any desired φd without retraining. By exploring the relationship between α-plane type reduced sets and uncertainty coverage, we develop two calibration methods: a lookup table-based approach and a derivative-free optimization algorithm. These methods allow GT2-FLSs to produce accurate and reliable PIs while significantly reducing computational overhead. Experimental results on high-dimensional datasets demonstrate that the calibrated GT2-FLS achieves superior performance in UQ, highlighting its potential for scalable and practical applications.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2025 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems, FUZZ 2025 - Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798331543198
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Event2025 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems, FUZZ 2025 - Reims, France
Duration: 6 Jul 20259 Jul 2025

Publication series

NameIEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems
ISSN (Print)1098-7584

Conference

Conference2025 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems, FUZZ 2025
Country/TerritoryFrance
CityReims
Period6/07/259/07/25

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 IEEE.

Keywords

  • calibration
  • deep learning
  • general type-2 fuzzy logic systems
  • prediction intervals
  • uncertainty quantification

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