Abstract
This study proposes a new scenario planning approach which consists of two main stages: evaluating scenarios under multiple criteria and selecting a manageable number of representative scenarios covering a wide range of future developments. In the evaluation stage, the interaction between criteria has been considered, which offers a significant contribution both to the scenario literature and practice. In the selection stage, a mathematical programming model has been developed to ensure the selection of distinct scenarios with high evaluation values. The approach is applied to an urban mobility system in a metropolitan area. The selected scenarios provide valuable insights into the future of urban mobility, serving as a basis for identifying strategies. The proposed approach does not offer a solution only for scenario planning problems, it can be effectively applied to similar problems in different areas.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 461-470 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | Decision Science Letters |
| Volume | 13 |
| Issue number | 2 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Mar 2024 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2024 by the authors; licensee Growing Science, Canada.
Keywords
- Multiple Criteria Interaction
- Scenario Evaluation
- Scenario Planning
- Scenario Selection
- Urban Mobility
