A novel scenario planning approach considering criteria interaction in multi-criteria evaluation: An application to urban mobility

Ozgur Yanmaz*, Umut Asan

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This study proposes a new scenario planning approach which consists of two main stages: evaluating scenarios under multiple criteria and selecting a manageable number of representative scenarios covering a wide range of future developments. In the evaluation stage, the interaction between criteria has been considered, which offers a significant contribution both to the scenario literature and practice. In the selection stage, a mathematical programming model has been developed to ensure the selection of distinct scenarios with high evaluation values. The approach is applied to an urban mobility system in a metropolitan area. The selected scenarios provide valuable insights into the future of urban mobility, serving as a basis for identifying strategies. The proposed approach does not offer a solution only for scenario planning problems, it can be effectively applied to similar problems in different areas.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)461-470
Number of pages10
JournalDecision Science Letters
Volume13
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 by the authors; licensee Growing Science, Canada.

Keywords

  • Multiple Criteria Interaction
  • Scenario Evaluation
  • Scenario Planning
  • Scenario Selection
  • Urban Mobility

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'A novel scenario planning approach considering criteria interaction in multi-criteria evaluation: An application to urban mobility'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this