A note on dynamic spatiotemporal ARCH models: small- and large-sample results

  • Philipp Otto*
  • , Osman Doğan
  • , Süleyman Taşpınar
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

This short paper explores the estimation of a dynamic spatiotemporal autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model. The log-volatility term in this model can depend on (i) the spatial lag of the log-squared outcome variable, (ii) the time-lag of the log-squared outcome variable, (iii) the spatiotemporal lag of the log-squared outcome variable, (iv) exogenous variables, and (v) the unobserved heterogeneity across regions and time, i.e., the regional and time fixed effects. We examine the small- and large-sample properties of two quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and a generalised method of moments estimator for this model. We first summarize the theoretical properties of these estimators and then compare their finite sample properties through Monte Carlo simulations.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)811-828
Number of pages18
JournalAStA Advances in Statistical Analysis
Volume109
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2025.

Keywords

  • GMM
  • QMLE
  • Spatial ARCH
  • Spatial dependence
  • Volatility
  • Volatility clustering

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