A hybrid fuzzy risk evaluation model for real estate investments

Alp Ustundag*, Emre Cevikcan, Mehmet Serdar Kilinc

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Risk evaluation has been an important task for real estate investments in uncertain economic conditions. Fuzzy rule based systems (FRBS) have been the most popular and easiest way to capture and represent fuzzy, vague, imprecise and uncertain domain knowledge. This study proposes a hybrid risk evaluation model for real estate investments which integrates FRBS with Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP). In the proposed hybrid model, FAHP is used to evaluate the real estate quality analytically with respect to the judgments of experts. Then, the obtained quality score is utilized as one the inputs of FRBS method which uses fuzzy IF-THEN rules defined by the experts. In this study, the rule base of the hybrid model combines the factors of age and quality of a real estate with general economical factors of the market. The proposed model is applied to determine the prices of three different real estate in Istanbul based on quality of house, size and risk factor.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)339-362
Number of pages24
JournalJournal of Multiple-Valued Logic and Soft Computing
Volume17
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Keywords

  • FAHP
  • FRBS
  • Fuzzy logic
  • Hybrid risk evaluation model
  • Real estate

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