A comprehensive risk assessment of enclosed space operations on ships

Muhammed Fatih Gulen, C. Guedes Soares*, Ozcan Arslan

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This study presents a comprehensive risk assessment to identify, quantify, and prioritise enclosed space operations' most critical failure modes. Enclosed space operations on board ships have severe consequences due to the human-related, procedural, equipment-related, operational, emergency response, environmental, and structural hazards involved. It integrates failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis, evidential reasoning, and rule-based Bayesian network techniques to manage uncertainty and model causal relationships. A total of twenty-three failure modes under five main risk components related to enclosed space operations are assessed in detail and the results were analysed both quantitatively and causally. The findings of the analysis revealed that the most critical risk components are procedural and human failures. Furthermore, limited procedural traceability and auditability emerged as the most critical failure mode. In line with the results, the study identifies the risks and the systematic problems behind these risks and provides solution-oriented short- and long-term strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Article number111543
JournalReliability Engineering and System Safety
Volume265
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Authors

Keywords

  • Bayesian network
  • Enclosed space
  • Evidential reasoning
  • FMECA
  • Maritime safety
  • Risk assessment

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